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    Picture of Pierre Charlebois
    FXStreet.com blogger

    Pierre Charlebois is one of Trading Post's Senior Trading Coaches and also serves as an Advisor with the GTC Group.

    He has a no-nonsense technical approach and uses several disciplines including Elliott Wave Theory, Candlestick Formation and Pattern Recognition in his teaching and swing trading.

    Picture of Marius Alexe

    Marius Alexe is president and CEO of Phincorp Capital Markets and has accumulated 14 years experience as a Forex analyst and trader.

    He utilizes the Elliott Wave Principle and Dow Theory to formulate his analysis. Marius is also a Derivatives Market Specialist with the Canadian Securities Institute and a Chartered Market Technician with the Markets Technicians Association.

Sunday, September 21, 2008

Where to now for the USD versus other majors

Sunday, September 21, 2008

We are certainly in tumultuous times in all markets at present. I would suggest this condition will continue for some time. Weeks months or even years. We are witnessing the most volatile period in financial markets in our lifetime. This allows for greater swings in markets, producing many more opportunities than normal while also increasing the risk. In times like this more than any other, use good sound money management and only expose a very small margin of your account at one time. 2% or less in a very good rule.


This week, I present the EUR/USD and GBP/USD in 4 hour chart frames. This allows for a better view of the current patterns. Both are in a range that when broken should produce a very strong move.

EURUSD_SEPT_21_08


GBPUSD_SEPT_21_08

 

The USD/CAD this week has appeared to have topped medium term. Now attacking it's monthly support, a break might produce a revisit of Par (1.0000) or lower. Watch that barrier at $1.0416

USDCAD_SEPT_21_08


The EUR/JPY is of course reacting to the risk reduction with the Fed. Bail-out. A move up is expected. What I would be watching for however is a sudden reversal at the Carry-Trade does not like these very volatile conditions and when things turn again we may see a further very violent unwinding.

 EURJPY_SEPT_21_08

 
Cheers and good trading,
Pierre