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    Picture of Pierre Charlebois
    FXStreet.com blogger

    Pierre Charlebois is one of Trading Post's Senior Trading Coaches and also serves as an Advisor with the GTC Group.

    He has a no-nonsense technical approach and uses several disciplines including Elliott Wave Theory, Candlestick Formation and Pattern Recognition in his teaching and swing trading.

Sunday, February 3, 2008

FX Weekly for February 04, 2008

Sunday, February 3, 2008

Ben S. Bernanke's decision to lower interest rates 1.25 percentage points last month will end the dollar's two-year slide, according to the world's biggest currency traders.

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – DAILY CHARTS

EUR/USD

Resistance: 1.4966/1.5000

Support: 1.4590

Sentiment: mixed

GBP/USD

Resistance: 1.9825

Support: 1.9340

Sentiment: bearish

AUD/USD

Resistance: 0.9200

Support: 0.8765

Sentiment: bullish

USD/JPY

Resistance: 107.90

Support: 104.20

Sentiment: bearish

USD/CAD

Resistance: 1.0180

Support: 0.9760

Sentiment: mixed

USD/CHF

Resistance: 1.1120

Support: 1.0840

Sentiment: mixed

GPB/JPY

Resistance: 215.15
Support: 203.90
Sentiment: bearish

Fed Versus ECB

While two Fed cuts slashed the target rate for overnight loans between banks to 3 percent in nine days, the European Central Bank kept its benchmark rate unchanged at a seven-year high of 4 percent in an attempt to curb inflation. The ECB will keep rates unchanged at its Feb. 7 meeting, according to all 55 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

``If aggressive cuts by the Fed can stimulate the economy, then the U.S. will definitely lead the way in terms of economic recovery,'' Yu said. ``The ECB is behind the curve, so it's time to move back'' into the dollar, he said.

Deutsche Bank AG, the world's largest currency trader, predicts an 8 percent gain in the dollar this year as the euro- zone economy expands 1.6 percent, lagging behind the 1.9 percent growth projected for the U.S. For 2009, Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank puts growth at 2.6 percent in the U.S. and 1.9 percent in Europe.