FX Weekly for February 04, 2008
Ben S. Bernanke's decision to lower interest rates 1.25 percentage points last month will end the dollar's two-year slide, according to the world's biggest currency traders.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – DAILY CHARTS
EUR/USD
Resistance: 1.4966/1.5000
Support: 1.4590
Sentiment: mixed
GBP/USD
Resistance: 1.9825
Support: 1.9340
Sentiment: bearish
AUD/USD
Resistance: 0.9200
Support: 0.8765
Sentiment: bullish
USD/JPY
Resistance: 107.90
Support: 104.20
Sentiment: bearish
USD/CAD
Resistance: 1.0180
Support: 0.9760
Sentiment: mixed
USD/CHF
Resistance: 1.1120
Support: 1.0840
Sentiment: mixed
GPB/JPY
Resistance: 215.15
Support: 203.90
Sentiment: bearish
Fed Versus ECB
While two Fed cuts slashed the target rate for overnight loans between banks to 3 percent in nine days, the European Central Bank kept its benchmark rate unchanged at a seven-year high of 4 percent in an attempt to curb inflation. The ECB will keep rates unchanged at its Feb. 7 meeting, according to all 55 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.
``If aggressive cuts by the Fed can stimulate the economy, then the U.S. will definitely lead the way in terms of economic recovery,'' Yu said. ``The ECB is behind the curve, so it's time to move back'' into the dollar, he said.
Deutsche Bank AG, the world's largest currency trader, predicts an 8 percent gain in the dollar this year as the euro- zone economy expands 1.6 percent, lagging behind the 1.9 percent growth projected for the U.S. For 2009, Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank puts growth at 2.6 percent in the U.S. and 1.9 percent in Europe.










