FX Weekly for January 8, 2008
2008 - year of the Yen?
The dollar posted its biggest decline against the yen in almost two months as a slowdown in hiring raised concern that U.S. economic weakness will spread globally. The U.S. currency fell this week against the euro and Swiss franc as traders priced in for the first time a more than 50 percent chance the Federal Reserve will cut borrowing costs by a half-percentage point on Jan. 30. Import prices were unchanged last month, easing concern inflation is accelerating, the government is forecast by economists to report next week.
China's yuan advanced against the dollar for a fourth week, rising 0.4 percent to 7.274 per dollar, as a local newspaper reported that the central bank signaled it will allow faster gains in the currency to help curb inflation.
Watch the yuan and trade the yen! They yen acts as a proxy for the yuan so it's likely to be a good guide for trend/trade direction.
Have a great trading year!
Zoltan Vass
EURUSD
RESISTANCE: 1.4970
SUPPORT: 1.4550
SENTIMENT: still bullish
USDJPY
RESISTANCE: 112.30
SUPPORT: 104.20
SENTIMENT: bearish
GBPUSD
RESISTANCE: 2.0100
SUPPORT: 1.9570
SENTIMENT: bearish – the strong disconnect from the EURUSD is unusual though, be alert!
USDCHF
RESISTANCE: 1.1270
SUPPORT: 1.0890
SENTIMENT: mixed to bearish
USDCAD
RESISTANCE: 1.0250
SUPPORT: 0.9650
SENTIMENT: mildly bullish, needs a break above 1.0070 to confirm
AUDUSD
RESISTANCE: 0.88725
SUPPORT: 0.8540
SENTIMENT: mixed to bearish
GBPJPY
RESISTANCE: 219.10
SUPPORT: 205.60
SENTIMENT: bearish but very oversold
EURJPY
RESISTANCE: 163.20
SUPPORT: 158.20
SENTIMENT: mixed – getting oversold










